Observations · city growth

City growth 1975 → 2030

The built-up surface of 4 cities, epoch by epoch — 1975, 1990, 2000, 2010, 2020 and the JRC projections for 2025 and 2030 — rendered by WaiMAP from the GHS-BUILT-S R2023A grid. Every number on this page comes from the same file as the animations.

Built-up km² = Σ (built-up share of each 30" cell × cell area) inside a square window around the city centre (cell area from the latitude). 2025 and 2030 are JRC projections. The window is a fixed square, not an administrative boundary.

Istanbul

Epoch197519902000201020202025*2030*
Built-up surface, km²182199254282310317321

* JRC projection. Window: 90 × 90 km around 41.03, 28.95 (a fixed square, not a city boundary).

Ankara

Epoch197519902000201020202025*2030*
Built-up surface, km²566283105127132135

* JRC projection. Window: 60 × 60 km around 39.93, 32.82 (a fixed square, not a city boundary).

Bucharest

Epoch197519902000201020202025*2030*
Built-up surface, km²658095118140144147

* JRC projection. Window: 50 × 50 km around 44.43, 26.10 (a fixed square, not a city boundary).

Lagos

Epoch197519902000201020202025*2030*
Built-up surface, km²273322351470598611619

* JRC projection. Window: 70 × 70 km around 6.55, 3.38 (a fixed square, not a city boundary).

Data: GHS-BUILT-S R2023A, European Commission, JRC (CC BY 4.0). No basemap: no licence-safe coastline or country outline at city scale is available on the build machine (the only local outline, Natural Earth 1:110m, is too coarse for these windows). No third-party map tiles are used in the media. Stamp: WaiMAP - Spatial Intelligence. Generated 2026-10-13 by tools/growth/build_growth_media.py — the numbers: growth.json.